UPDATE: National Hurricane Center eyes Tropical Storm Erin
By Dwayne Bremer
Aug 16, 2013, 15:38
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM ERIN...LOCATED WEST-SOUTHWEST OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. Uncertainty remains with the track of the main system, but it appears the main system will move toward the upper Mexico, lower Texas coast. A weak wave of low pressure is forecast to move along the stationary front off the Louisiana coast and provide a short period of enhanced winds and waves over the coastal waters Saturday night or Sunday morning. Heavy rainfall remains a concern over the Mississippi coastal counties and lower portions of Louisiana coastal parishes.
SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE WEATHER
DISTURBANCE IN THE EXTREME NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA HAS BECOME
LESS ORGANIZED OVERNIGHT WITH MOST OF THE SHOWER ACTIVITY NOW
MOVING OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM BEFORE IT MOVES OVER LAND HAS BECOME LESS LIKELY...HOWEVER
THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR DEVELOPMENT ONCE THE DISTURBANCE MOVES
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.